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Gold falls near $4,000 as US PCE data boosts December Fed hike odds

ITF Team1 min read
Gold falls near $4,000 as US PCE data boosts December Fed hike odds

Gold slipped to about $4,015 in early Asian trade after US PCE inflation numbers revived expectations of a Fed rate hike in December.

Spot gold (XAU/USD) dropped to roughly $4,015 during the early Asian session on Friday, pulling back from the $4,000‑plus level that had held earlier in the week. The move was sparked by the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which showed a 0.5% month‑on‑month rise in September, matching market forecasts and reviving expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise rates at its December meeting.

US inflation data fuels rate‑hike expectations

  • The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis reported a 0.5% rise in the September PCE index, in line with expectations.
  • CME FedWatch now shows a 74.9% probability of a December Fed hike.
  • Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non‑yielding gold, adding pressure on the metal.

Gold holds better than industrial precious metals

  • TD Securities notes that silver and platinum‑group metals are underperforming as macro headwinds weigh on demand.
  • Gold remains relatively resilient after the FOMC, while industrial metals struggle.

What traders are watching next

  • Gold’s position relative to the 100‑day simple moving average and the lower Bollinger band for further downside cues.
  • Key US data releases later this week, including the CPI report and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s next remarks.

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This article is compiled from international market news for information only. It is not investment advice.

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